Markets rise as ‘Red’ Ed Miliband ‘is set to be Burnham’s Foreign Secretary not Chancellor’ – with Shabana Mahmood tipped for No11

Markets are breathing a sigh of relief after signs Ed Miliband is losing the bid to become chancellor under Andy Burnham.
Speculation is mounting that Shabana Mahmood will instead get the keys to No11 Downing Street; Mr Miliband, on the other hand, has to content himself with being foreign minister.
Allies are citing the Net Zero Secretary’s credentials for major government agency, pointing to the ‘high reputation’ he has earned on the world stage after leading climate talks.
Those in Westminster believe the role will be sold to Mr Miliband, who is seen by critics as having ‘Soviet’ views, as a platform to continue the global push for clean energy.
As the briefing gained momentum, the Pound gained strength and Britain’s borrowing costs decreased; this reflects the preference of the more centrist Ms. Mahmood.
Mr Burnham’s team has remained tight-lipped about appointments as he prepares to take over from Keir Starmer at No 10 on Monday.
While the figures show that growth has stopped, the extent of the challenge has become more evident today.
Official data revealed that GDP grew by just 0.1 percent in May and fell by the same rate in April.
The grim figures come after Mr Burnham sparked fears of further tax rises by admitting he could ‘ask a bit more’ from Britons during a chat with Gary Lineker.
Markets have calmed somewhat ahead of the handover of No 10 on Monday, following signs that Ed Miliband is losing his bid to become Chancellor.
Andy Burnham admits he could ‘ask a bit more’ from Brits during chat with Gary Lineker – despite tax burden heading towards record levels
Pound strengthens and UK borrowing costs fall as Shabana Mahmood now opts to take on critical role
Investors appear to prefer more centrist Ms Mahmood
Although he is only days away from taking office, Mr Burnham has so far revealed little of his plans for the country amid growing concerns about his tenure as Prime Minister.
He has spoken in the House of Commons only once since returning to Parliament as the new MP for Makerfield. The former Mayor of Manchester also walked out of an important speech at the end of last month without answering media questions.
Mr Burnham instead chose to selectively answer questions on the Reddit website and spoke in vague terms about what he might do in power during a light-hearted chat with now-former footballer Lineker.
Mr Burnham, who told the former Match of the Day presenter that he would be ‘very clear’ on issues of disagreement with US President Donald Trump, signaled that he was open to increasing the tax burden.
In response to Mr Burnham’s comments, Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch warned that the country ‘faces another summer of chaos with Labor obsessing over who it can tax to deliver more benefits’.
An ally of Mr Miliband said he would be ‘very good’ as Foreign Secretary, noting his work with international figures such as Democratic California Governor Gavin Newsom.
Chatter is centering around the possibility of Miatta Fahnbulleh, who drafted policies for Mr Burnham, taking on the Net Zero briefing.
It is unclear what will happen to the current foreign secretary, Yvette Cooper, or the Home Office if Ms Mahmood is replaced. Mr Burnham would come under heavy fire if he reduced the number of women in senior positions.
Sharon Graham, general secretary of the powerful Unite union, warned Mr Burnham last month that Mr Miliband’s obsession with Net Zero would be ‘a noose around his neck’ on job creation.
A Bloomberg survey of investors on Wednesday found only 5 percent backed the idea of appointing the former Labor leader as Chancellor. Ms Mahmood fared slightly better with 11 per cent support. Former health minister Wes Streeting came first with the support of more than 30 per cent of investors but has fallen out of favor.
A spokesman for Mr Burnham said ‘no decisions have been made’ about the makeup of the new Cabinet.
But an ally of the new Prime Minister told the Financial Times: ‘Shabana has been installed as chancellor. This is definitely happening.’
Ms Mahmood was keen to remain at the Home Office and had limited economic experience having served in opposition as a junior member of Labour’s Treasury team.
Appointing a member of the Labor Right Party to the post could also trigger a backlash from Left-wing MPs who are crying out for ‘wealth’ taxes.
Despite Mr Burnham’s optimistic statements about improving people’s lives, whoever lands in No 11 appears to have little room for manoeuvre.
May’s meager 0.1 percent GDP growth followed a 0.3 percent expansion in the basic services sector; this growth was partially offset by declines in manufacturing of 0.5 percent and construction of 0.8 percent.
Growth declines sharply after a much better start to the year than expected; The ONS recorded growth of 0.3 per cent in March before contracting in April, the first decline in eight months, seen as a sign that the Iran war was beginning to take hold.
GDP rose 0.7 per cent in the three months to May, following an upwardly revised 0.8 per cent growth in the three months to April.
The conflict in the Middle East has been flagged as affecting activity by businesses in a number of sectors, including some manufacturing industries, hospitality firms, travel agencies and entertainment companies, the ONS said.
According to the ONS, ‘A common theme of comments received in the monthly business survey was disruption to global supply chains due to the conflict in Iran.’
ICAEW Chief Economist Suren Thiru said: ‘This underwhelming result highlights the UK’s vulnerability to a prolonged re-escalation of US-Iran hostilities; because a sustained rise in oil prices will further damage the already weak economy, strengthen stagflation risks and erode the incoming Prime Minister’s fiscal ability.
‘The impending change in Prime Minister risks casting a shadow over the UK economy, while increasing uncertainty about future tax policy is likely to make consumers and businesses more reluctant to spend and invest.’
Samuel Edwards, of global financial services firm Ebury, said: ‘Questions over the future Chancellor and the Burnham government add another layer of concern and leave businesses seeking greater clarity on the Government’s economic direction and whether further tax increases for employers will be on the table.’
Pantheon Macroeconomics experts said May’s increase put the economy on track for 0.3 percent growth overall in the second quarter, up from 0.6 percent growth in the first three months.
However, the conflict in the Middle East, which has been going on for about five months and with little sign of an outcome, and rising fuel and energy costs during the year are expected to affect growth.
Fergus Jimenez-England, an associate economist at the National Institute for Economic and Social Research (Niesr), said the new prime minister should make economic stability a top priority.
He said: ‘Today’s data confirms that growth remains fragile, with both the manufacturing and construction sectors falling and services keeping the economy afloat.
‘The growth outlook is further threatened by volatile energy costs, which will likely negatively impact economic activity in the near future.
‘With energy prices rising once again, all eyes are now on the new Prime Minister who will provide much-needed stability.’
A Treasury spokesman said: ‘We have the right economic plan in place that puts the UK in a much stronger position than two years ago, with the fastest growth in the G7 in the first quarter, and the OECD agrees we have restored stability.
‘We are expected to be the fastest growing G7 economy in Europe this year, with inflation remaining stable going forward and for the first time since 2004 we are expected to borrow less than the G7 average this year.’
Official data revealed that GDP grew by just 0.1 percent in May and fell by the same rate in April.
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride said: ‘Rachel Reeves said growth was her ‘number one job’. It failed.
‘Two years of high taxes have strangled the economy and now Andy Burnham wants more taxes to deliver more benefits. Starmer and Reeves may be about to leave, but it’s not just the Chancellor who’s the problem. Labor Party. ‘Different faces, same failed approach.’




