Rising odds Trump moves on Panama Canal, Greenland

Prediction market traders have upped bets on further international turmoil following President Donald Trump’s raid on Venezuela.

Traders on emerging platforms have recently pledged money depending on where the White House might turn its focus next. The allegations escalated as Wall Street and Main Street realized that the Trump administration was moving toward swift and powerful international attacks.

“The big takeaway for investors is that Trump is much more comfortable and confident about the use of military force,” Piper Sandler analyst Andy Laperriere wrote to clients on Monday. “His first year in his second term was characterized by boundless energy and risk-taking, and this extended to the use of the military.”

Chances of Trump doing this “take back” Panama Canal before early 2029 Kalshi prediction market It rose from under 30% at the end of last week to over 35%. Trump said last year that he would not rule out using military force to seize control of the sea route connecting the Pacific to the Atlantic.

Possibility of US coming “take control” Greenland’s 38 percent rose to 38 percent at noon Tuesday; There has been an increase of approximately eight percentage points since the middle of last week. At one point over the weekend, rates rose above 46%.

A larger market depending on the amount of dollars Trump will play “buy at least some of it” Rates in the Danish territory were running near 25%, down from the less than 20% seen late last week.

The combined bet for both questions on Kalshi is close to $2.5 million.

Leaders in Greenland have repeatedly rejected Trump’s comments that the United States is aiming for a takeover. But Trump reiterated his call to take over Europe in an interview published in The Atlantic this weekend.

“We absolutely need Greenland,” Trump told the magazine.

Mujtaba Rahman, European managing director of consultancy Eurasia Group, said the Danish government was in “full crisis mode” following Trump’s latest comments.

New markets have appeared in Polymarket in recent days, each worth tens of thousands of dollars. strike to colombia And Invasion of Cuba. Trump made threats to both countries.

Kalshi’s leaders gathered this weekend to visit Iran’s religious leader Ali Khamenei. leave the office before next year. Part of a market worth around $1 million, the chances of this are currently trading around 54%.

Trump authorized bomb attacks on Iran last year, drawing the United States into the conflict between the Islamic Republic and Israel. Last week, Trump threatened to throw Iran “to hell” if it rebuilds its nuclear program.

“Now I hear Iran is trying to get strong again, and if they are, we’re going to have to bring them down. We’re going to take them down,” Trump said. “We will eradicate them. But I hope that doesn’t happen.”