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Farage says deal with Tories ‘as they are’ would cost Reform UK votes, as he denies election pact – UK politics live | Politics

Farage says deal with Tories ‘as they are’ would cost Reform UK votes, as he dismisses claim he’s contemplating electoral pact

Good morning. The Financial Times today has a good story that will renew speculation about the prospect of Reform UK and the Conservative party doing some sort of deal before the next general election. Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, has said the story is “false”. But a close reading of his “denial” suggests that his thinking on this topic is rather more nuanced than that word implies.

In their story, Anna Gross and Julie Steinberg say that Farage has told donors that he expects some sort of pact between the two main rightwing parties before the election. They say:

One donor said Farage told them he expected to do a deal with the Tories, whether it be a merger or an agreement on co-operation between the two parties, to ease Reform’s route to election victory.

The person added that the Reform leader said such a deal could only be done on his terms, in part because Farage felt betrayed after the pact he made with the Tories at the 2019 election.

Another associate who met with Farage in recent months said the Reform leader described a pact or merger as inevitable but added it might take some time.

The person added that Farage said Reform held more power so any agreement would be made on his rightwing populist party’s terms.

Responding to the story in a post on X, Farage said:

A false story in the FT tonight claims Reform would do a deal with the Tories.

After 14 years of dishonesty & lies they should never be forgiven. The idea I’d work with them is ludicrous.

They betrayed my trust in 2019 & we will ensure they cease to be a national party in May.

The reference to May is important. Farage is referring to the Scottish parliament and Senedd elections. In Wales the polls suggest that Reform UK is on course to be the biggest party, and the Tories are polling at a level where they may struggle to win more than a handful for seats. In Scotland the SNP is comfortably in the lead, but here too Reform UK seems on course to easily outperform Kemi Badenoch’s party.

Farage also gave a quote to the FT before it ran its story and, although it largely echoed its tweet, it included an important qualifier (highlighted in bold). He told the paper:

After next May, the Conservatives will no longer be a national party.

I would never do a deal with a party that I don’t trust. No deals, just a reverse takeover. A deal with them as they are would cost us votes.

So it may be true that Farage has no intention of doing any sort of deal with Badenoch’s Conservative party. But it also seems to be the case that Farage does not think that sort of party survive until 2029, and that he is contemplating how he cooperates with some Tory rump faction under a different leadership. Many commentators think, if that is the situation, there will be some sort of electoral deal.

Keir Starmer may choose to bring this up at PMQs. Here is the agenda for the day.

Noon: Keir Starmer faces Kemi Badenoch at PMQs.

2.15pm: Helen Miller, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, and Ruth Curtice, chief executive of the Resolution Foundation, give evidence to the Commons Treasury committee about the budget.

If you want to contact me, please post a message below the line when comments are open (normally between 10am and 3pm at the moment), or message me on social media. I can’t read all the messages BTL, but if you put “Andrew” in a message aimed at me, I am more likely to see it because I search for posts containing that word.

If you want to flag something up urgently, it is best to use social media. You can reach me on Bluesky at @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social. The Guardian has given up posting from its official accounts on X, but individual Guardian journalists are there, I still have my account, and if you message me there at @AndrewSparrow, I will see it and respond if necessary.

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Preparing evidence for Covid inquiry has cost government £100m in staff and legal costs, figures show

The public inquiry into the Covid pandemic has cost the government more than £100m to respond to so far, PA Media reports. PA says:

Transparency data from the Cabinet Office shows the overall cost for responding to the UK Covid-19 Inquiry, including for legal advice and dedicated staff working on preparing evidence.

The cost is on top of the £192m cost of the inquiry itself so far. The inquiry is expected to become the most expensive in British history.

The documents, analysed by the BBC and seen by the Press Association, reveal 248 full-time equivalent staff were working on the government response to the Covid inquiry at the last count.

The figures show:

– £56.4m was spent by the government on legal costs from April 2023 to June 2025 inclusive, with £26.2m in the 12 months to March 2024, £25m in the 12 months to March 2025, plus £5.2m in the three months from April to June 2025.

– £44.6m was spent on staff costs across this period, made up of £18m in the year to March 2024, £21.6m in the year to March 2025, and £5m in the three months April-June 2025.

– The combined total for legal and staff costs for the period April 2023 to June 2025 is £100.9m, though the true amount could be higher as the costs are “not based on a complete set of departmental figures and are not precise for accounting purposes”, according to the Cabinet Office documents.

– The number of full-time equivalent staff working on the overnment’s response to the inquiry stood at 265 at the end of the 2023/24 financial year, had risen to 286 by the end of 2024/25, and then fell to 248 across April-June 2025.

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